|
I don’t want to put a picture of this guy’s successor on my blog. |
I’m hesitant about posting anything political on Thanksgiving. After all, this is a day when I and many others believe that we Americans should take a break from our fractious political disputes and focus on what unites us as a nation.
But I am one of those
liberals who has been utterly thunderstruck by the unexpected election of
Donald Trump. Never having held
elected office or military command before, and infusing his speeches with
hateful vulgarities, Trump, I thought, was obviously unfit and unsuited to the
highest office in the country, if not the world. So, I’m absolutely gobsmacked that so many voters — enough
to win Trump the Electoral College, albeit not the popular vote — didn’t agree
with me about the obviousness of his unsuitability for the office. I’m sure that many conservatives will
say that I am blinded to Trump’s worthiness for the office by my blinkered
liberalism that’s insulated from the virtues of small-town America (evidenced
by my use of the foreign slang term “gobsmacked”), but that is a discussion for
another day.
However, I was listening
to the radio today, which played Trump’s Thanksgiving Day address to the people
he will soon be governing. In it,
Trump said that he hopes to bring “real prosperity” to the American people. The underlying message of this
statement is that the last eight years under President Barack Obama were not
particularly prosperous.
Hearing Trump say this, I
was reminded of the economic calamity that happened on President George W.
Bush’s watch, the worst since the Great Depression 80 years ago. President Obama was able to bring this
country out of that fiscal hole, but the ensuing economic prosperity hasn’t
been felt by everyone. This sense
of people being left out of the economic recovery was obviously what Trump was
implying by his remarks. But the
main reason for the country’s perceived lack of shared fortune, I submit, is
because the congressional Republicans fought Obama’s plans for economic revival
every step of the way.
Obama had several plans
for refurbishing the country’s infrastructure, plans which would have put many
more Americans back to work and would have thereby boosted the economy. But the Republicans stymied or blocked
most of those plans on the argument that the deficit needed to be reversed
before any such plans could be passed.
This argument brought back memories of the budget surplus left to George
W. Bush by Bill Clinton, a surplus that Bush quickly squandered via his tax
cuts, the majority of which benefited wealthier Americans. The deficit was largely created by the
Republicans, and I always thought that they had great chutzpah for citing it as
the reason for blocking Obama’s plans for economic recovery.
This is a phenomenon in
politics: If the economy does significantly well under a president, that
president will get the credit for the economy, whether that president truly
deserves the credit or not. And if
the economy does significantly poorly under a president, that president will
get the blame for the economy, whether that president truly deserves the blame
or not. For example, Ronald Reagan
(he of the sunny persona) was widely credited for America’s economic revival of
the 1980s. Reagan’s new prosperity
was largely thanks to deficit spending, but the president and his Republican
allies were able to deflect the credit onto his tax cuts instead. So was cemented the great Republican
shibboleth of tax cuts spurring the economy, which isn’t necessarily true, as Kansas under Republican governor Sam Brownback has recently proven.
Congressional Republicans
during the Obama administration knew that if the economy improved too well
under the first African American president, he would get the credit, which
would redound to the rival Democratic Party. So, Republicans — putting political party before country —
did everything they could to hinder or thwart Obama’s economic plans. And as a consequence, the economy —
despite a record number of months of continued job growth — improved only
haltingly. The Republicans’
strategy appears to have worked: rather than remembering that Democratic
measures dug the American economy out of its Republican-created hole, a
decisive number of voters only blamed Obama for not improving the economy
quickly enough and elected a member of the hole-creating rival party to succeed
him.
Once Trump is in office,
expect congressional Republicans to become born-again deficit spenders to
improve the economy with infrastructure projects of their own, along with extra
tax cuts. If these plans succeed, Trump
will get the credit for boosting the economy — boosting, in turn, the
Republican Party’s fortunes.
Another result will be that the deficit worsens. Consequently, when another Democrat
inevitably gets elected sometime down the road, expect the congressional
Republicans to once again use the deep deficit as a way to block any Democratic
plans to improve the economy, and once again, expect the resulting
underperformance by the economy to work to the Republicans’ political
advantage.
|
My Thanksgiving 2016. (I think this photo looks like a Vanity Fair cover.) |